Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.369306 0.438049 0.514833 0.606779 0.713709 0.833959 0.979245
2025-01-05 0.270588 0.360192 0.471074 0.617623 0.805384 1.036959 1.343188
2025-01-12 0.210319 0.305129 0.431688 0.611450 0.858389 1.183590 1.641758
2025-01-19 0.171227 0.267039 0.403283 0.608657 0.907307 1.322020 1.936732
2025-01-26 0.149865 0.248777 0.397266 0.632714 0.991928 1.513344 2.319484
2025-02-02 0.143215 0.250823 0.420024 0.700069 1.144926 1.815009 2.887889
2025-02-09 0.128943 0.237865 0.416953 0.725793 1.235607 2.030891 3.346843
2025-02-16 0.111022 0.215560 0.395133 0.717458 1.269694 2.160668 3.682161
2025-02-23 0.093664 0.191230 0.366156 0.692588 1.272298 2.238326 3.938392
2025-03-02 0.078317 0.167984 0.335615 0.660471 1.257723 2.284353 4.143784
2025-03-09 0.072307 0.161820 0.335262 0.682368 1.339531 2.499078 4.650559
2025-03-16 0.061867 0.144933 0.312186 0.658588 1.335163 2.562398 4.898035
2025-03-23 0.056452 0.138137 0.308710 0.673611 1.407457 2.773371 5.435107
2025-03-30 0.051264 0.131027 0.303742 0.685267 1.474976 2.982567 5.989062
2025-04-06 0.045205 0.120818 0.290722 0.678461 1.504735 3.122817 6.425247
2025-04-13 0.040252 0.112335 0.280186 0.675386 1.541270 3.278434 6.902450
2025-04-20 0.037922 0.109955 0.283041 0.701868 1.642013 3.568218 7.663592
2025-04-27 0.038740 0.115855 0.305901 0.775976 1.851795 4.093211 8.931207
2025-05-04 0.036628 0.113563 0.308829 0.804265 1.963766 4.426551 9.835221
2025-05-11 0.032701 0.105549 0.296581 0.795100 1.990889 4.585028 10.391102
2025-05-18 0.028376 0.095552 0.277849 0.767747 1.973307 4.646529 10.747724
2025-05-25 0.024267 0.085352 0.257036 0.732415 1.932979 4.654637 10.989855
2025-06-01 0.023033 0.083799 0.259283 0.756505 2.037480 4.990946 11.969726